Wednesday, July 3, 2019
Ebola July 2019: Just Checking In
In the opening month of this outbreak (August of last year, FTR) there were 120 total cases.
Now, eleven months along, there are 120 new cases just this week (that we know of, in the 75% of the outbreak area currently actively monitored, and despite 140,000 rVSV-ZEBOB vaccinations). That's 2,634 cases, and still 11 out of 33 or so on the Pandemic Panic Scale. It's going to take awhile, even at that rate, to get to 12. And when it got to 13 in 2014, that's when the virus made its appearance in the U.S.A., just for reference.
We're also in a wait-and-see mode to find out if Uganda
a) has any more Ebola cases
b) truthfully reports them
c) stops the outbreak there.
I wouldn't be holding my breath for good news on any of those, but that's only based on how this works out there, since forever.
Also, in an act of rare candor, TPTB are actually finally posting legit numbers for mortality, reflecting the number dead now as a percentage of those infected 21 days ago.
Which number is a solid 67%, or 2 out of 3 cases (with the usual caveats regarding reporting accuracy, and African facility with counting whilst wearing shoes).
And now random reports have thousands of Africans miraculously teleported to Central America, bound for America, apparently suddenly in receipt of the wherewithal to purchase not only plane tickets across the Atlantic, but with enough left over to have rolls of $100 bills in their possession to complete the journey northwards.
And boys and girls:
Don't bother linking to stories about this or that agency or other officialdom bunch "preparing" for Ebola.
Like the TSA's crotch-grabbing, what you're seeing is kabuki theatre, and what the late great Daniel Patrick Moynihan aptly referred to as "boob bait for the Bubbas".
So please: keep the boob bait to yourselves. I've seen the man behind the curtain, and I'm not impressed by the Wizard portrayed in news reports.