Friday, June 1, 2018
Ebola 2018: Just Checking In
The good news is that MSF and WHO have flooded the affected area with workers, treatment centers, and money, and have over 7500 doses of Merck's experimental but promising Ebola vaccine on hand, and the outbreak, like many before, is mainly in a section of one province that's remote rainforest jungle area (which helps check the spread, but also hinders efforts to combat the outbreak).
The bad news is that in the last month, it's gone from 21 cases, and 17 deaths, with 75 contacts being tracked, to currently 54 cases with 25 deaths, and now tracking over 900 contacts, so its r-naught is proceeding almost exactly apace with doubling every 21 days.
We're still only at a 6 out of 33 on the pandemic panic meter, and it hasn't escaped Congo.
So it's still small potatoes. Let's hope it peters out, and stays that way.
You can view the details on the relevant Wikipedia page.
Hopefully they nip this thing early and small, before, in the phrase knowingly and memorably quoted by African expat sages like Kim DuToit, "Africa Wins Again".
Barring it showing up in someplace like Kinshasa, Cairo, or Capetown, (let alone and God forbid Paris, London, or Rio de Janeiro), I hope not to have to re-visit this next month.