Friday, October 10, 2014

They Never See It Coming

So they keep importing potential Ebola carriers in daily. Because Racism.
After all, even though cutting off all flights and blocking all entrants originating in the affected three countries would stop 100% of the Duncans from getting here, we can't risk harming the economies of the 151st, 208th, and 223rd most productive countries in the world (Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Liberia, respectively. In case you were wondering, the scale only goes down to 228. That would be DRCongo, the other current African Ebola outbreak country.)
And seriously, it's not a like a few Ebola cases here and there are any big deal.
Because after all, what's the risk?
We've got this!
So when Ebola victim #2 arrives, and gives it away to someone else, what's the first thing they're going to ask the patient when they get to the hospital? (airport, anything else, fill in the blank...)
"Have you been to West African countries like Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia, or the Congo?"
And our hero, Billy Bob, or Apu from the QwikEMart, will honestly answer "No."
And then, wham-bam, be handed a prescription for something, anything, and sent home, for his complaints of headache, fever, muscle aches, and nausea. Just like a million cold and flu patients in the next six months.
And then, a few days later, when he comes back coughing up a lung or crapping kidneys,
Doctor Obvious will realize that you have Ebola! Which will be unfortunately too late to keep you from having already exposed your family, coworkers, all the healthcare workers there, the other people in the waiting room, the paramedics, the other kids at your kids school, the teachers too, and their combined families, along with the butcher, the baker, the candlestick maker, and every store clerk you saw when you went out to get aspirin, Ben Gay, and a tourniquet to keep from bleeding out your back end.
Because if you have no recent travel to Ebolaville, the Magic 8-Ball sez "You can't have Ebola!".
Even if you do.
Recall, please, that a lack of knowledge of Duncan's journey is apparently exactly why they missed his diagnosis. What chance will they have with someone who hasn't been to Africa?
So instead of screwing up the next Thomas Duncan, they'll screw up the next one hundred Thomas Duncans, who helpfully infect someone else, and those someones won't be the droids the nurses and doctors at the hospital are looking for either.
Like the UK guy and friend in Macedonia they're puzzling over now.
Or Officer Safety (apparently not infected) in Dallas. Because not everyone is going to have such a handy neon-light arrow pointing at the person who might've infected them.
Yet they'll still be infected, still seek treatment, still be contagious, but everyone in healthcare will miss them early, because they've been TOLD to. 
By the Smart People. The Geniuses In Charge Of Knowing.
We have CYA protocols to cover us, so no one has to think anymore.
If the Ebola Decision Protocol says juggle lit flares in a pool of gasoline, that's what will be done.
Until a few hundred explosions, and people running around aflame make the news, and The Geniuses In Charge Of Knowing will slap their foreheads, say "Aha!" and put out new no-thinking-required protocols, and we'll go right back to what failed us the first time, will fail us the next time, and will fail us over and over again until the protocol is to tell people to THINK.
I'd tell you when that'll be, but my telescope doesn't go up to that high a magnification, and from personal experience, a lot of people doing the job are underequipped for that task.


Emily Disraeli said...

I'm still trying to digest the part about we are in the 16th doubling out of 33 doublings. Are you SH_TTING me?

Anonymous said...

Can anyone be this stupid? Well, yes it appears they are. P.C was designed to control thought by controlling language. Apparently, it works as designed.
What worries me is John Holdren, Zeke Emanuel, Cass Sunstein and Peter Singer comprise part of Obola's "Top men". All of them have written about their wet dream of culling the herd.
Could they be viewing this outbreak as "a good crisis" that should not go to waste?

Anonymous said...


Could they be viewing this outbreak as "a good crisis" that should not go to waste?


And that would be a gigantic, affirmative, group-hug "Yes! Yes sir, you are correct!"

But it'll never happen here. Nobody would do that.

Except history.

Anonymous said...

Have you noticed that the CDC numbers over the past couple of weeks show that the reported new cases per day in the three most affected (infected?) West African countries are actually coming back down?

Since we know the official numbers are just a percentage of the actual numbers, that's no reason to celebrate yet, but it may be a good sign.

Or it could just be a sign that their data sucks. Too early to know for sure, but I'm hopeful that if Senegal and Nigeria have been able to get things under control, with help the rest of African can too.

Dan F. said...

It probably means that the people doing the counting are now dead.

Anonymous said...

I don't think so. 16 doubling would be around 64,000 infected. "They" are telling us that there are around 8,000 who have been infected. Assuming a 50% undercount, we are at 16,000, which is 14 doublings. Probably it is part was to # 15. However, keep in mind what exponents mean: the vast majority of the growth is in the last few. Even at16, you are talking a bit less than 1 in 100,000 people. Worrisome (due to direction and speed of increase) and tragic, yes, but not run around with your hair on file just yet.

Anonymous said...

Dead or infected themselves. This is, IMHO, the beginning of the breakdown of their societies. While our system is a bit more robust, watch this preview carefully for lessons to be learned.

Anonymous said...

Part WAY to #15

hair on FIRE

Anonymous said...

I think we will know if it is the Zombie Apocalypse by Halloween. By then we will know how bad Dallas and Madrid are, and if the carnage in West Africa is abating.

I hope Aesop is mistaken, I fear he is correct.

And what happens to the economy? Empty malls, empty theatres, empty restaurants.

Tucanae Services said...

And what happens to the economy? Empty malls, empty theatres, empty restaurants.

No worries, the malls at least are already empty. But the restaurants, aah they are still full. They are also the perfect vector mechanism to spread the disease.

Anonymous said...

I'm wondering if anyone has done any research into what might kill this virus?

Echinacea, elderberry, garlic, goldenseal, and pau d'arco come to mind. Any herbalists here?

Non herbal anti-virals I hear mentioned most are BHT, IV Vitamin C, and nano-silver solution.