Showing posts with label Reality Check. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Reality Check. Show all posts

Sunday, June 15, 2025

FIFY

h/t WRSA


Israel, while never admitting it, is largely acknowledged to have possessed nuclear weapons for 50 years or so. To date, they've never used one, and haven't provably even tested one.
By contrast, you'll know the day Iran gets one, because it will go off at the head of an Iranian-launched missile headed for Tel Aviv. Which reasonably enough, Israel's government considers unacceptable.

To this point, the only thing they've done wrong is to not nuke Tehran proactively. And maybe a few more cities in Iran, just to make the point unmistakable. They may yet do so, and would be no more despised if they did so than they are now, and yet they restrain that response, rather than risk a wider, and perhaps inevitably global, nuclear conflict.

And every time they spank Iran, a dozen Arab nations, and the governments thereof, hand Israel cash, prizes, and sincere thanks, backchannel or under the table, because they want a nuclear Iran even less than Israel does.

Iran has been the bleeding ass sore of the Middle East since 1979.

We should have been flying Arc Light rounders to their cities from Diego Garcia hourly for the last 50 years, but we've been too chickenshit to man up and do what's both deserved, and long past necessary.

Israel lacked the ability to do what they did yesterday as anything but one-way suicide missions, until they were sold US KC-135 tanker aircraft during Obozo's administration.

Israel can't wait until after there's a mushroom cloud overhead to act. It's an existential luxury, and asinine to expect it of them. So Wikileaks should either STFU, or quit the charade by just putting on a pointed white hood, and get their true feelings out in the open.

They could be that stupid once, but to stay this stupid perpetually is the calculated and deliberate act of someone maliciously hoping they could see all of Israel smoked under a rain of nuclear destruction, partly as wishcasting, and secondarily as a shout out of affirmation to their fellow mouth-breathers worldwide.

Like the internet was short of that at any point since it started existing.

20-Dimensional chess move: while Trump's hands are clean in Israel's strike, one consequence of it now has Iran cutting off drone sales to Russia, because they need them to attack Israel. So in one move Israel has cut the Houthi terror pipeline, yet again severely crimped Iran's nuclear ambitions (as if exploding nuclear scientists and Stuxnet viruses weren't enough), and taken some heat off Ukraine - supposedly by accident.

That's what diplomats and the E-ring at the Pentagon call a hat trick.

Friday, June 13, 2025

Some Thoughts On AI

h/t Wilder
























Regarding JW's essays on AI, we offer the following:

Reality Check:

AI doesn't think, it aggregates, which only mimics thinking.
It doesn't learn, it merely aggregates and averages, over time.

Think of it this way: AI brings you water out of your pool.
The problem is, you, your neighbors, and everyone you know is pissing and crapping in your pool every day.
Because it doesn't think, it aggregates, so AI keeps pumping the product out of your pool and delivering it as drinking water. And that's the best versions of AI.

And every day on the internet, more neighbors from farther away come to your pool to relieve themselves.

Bottoms up, friends.

AI doesn't screen out bad info. It doesn't, for example, take every smiling jackass who thinks chemtrails are a conspiracy theory, and sh*tcan their input, and only accept info from people that have even a grade-school understanding that the products of hydrocarbon combustion are CO2 and H2O, since ever, and that the H2O contrails at altitude is nothing but the ice crystals of that water vapor flash-frozen at 35,000 feet, like we've seen since we flew B-17s, FFS.

This is the reason AI can't screen the poo and pee out of that swimming pool. It just adds them to the mix it considers, and averages them out.

So take any comment section from anywhere, on any topic, and realize that on its best day, AI is giving you the input of the 51st percentile of IQ there, multiplied by how many idiots post that level of discourse.

Which is why, 0.2 seconds after AI is turned loose on any topic, you can expect that it will sound like someone with kneejerk "Joooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooosss! Run for your lives! They're everywhere!!!" to a level generally and formerly found only on Stormfront websites.

AI has no BS filter.
And any BS filter constructed will be nothing but the manifestation of the biases of the programmer(s).

So it's always going to be ten pounds of sh*t in a five pound bag, no matter what anyone wishes.
It will replace, and sound smarter than, the people at about the 60th percentile of IQ.
That's 103, bog-middle of average.
But it will be dumber than f**k compared to anyone at the 70th or better.
IOW, compared to AI, an Army 2d Lt. outperforms it, 24/7/365, because they have to have a 110 IQ.

So AI will make the 80 IQ crowd obsolete, except as ditch-diggers, because AI can't do manual labor.
(Until Skynet makes robots it controls.)

You can teach it to play chess, and beat you, but it can't think its way out of a pyramid of crap any better than a sh*thouse rat trapped in an outhouse cesspit.

This is therefore only a problem for the people on the internet who think sh*t is a substitute for brains. (I could name any number of examples you all know, who post incessant crap, but I won't embarrass them any further than their bloviations have already done.)

It's a threat to the left half of the IQ bell curve.
To anyone 1/2 an inch beyond the peak middle on a 20-foot IQ bell curve, AI is, and always will be, a joke.
And the only way to change that is an AI aggregation pool that's only people with IQs at least two standard deviations above the mean (about 130), which is less than 3% of the population. Three deviations (145) is less than 0.5% of the whole planet.

That would be an AI where all your neighbors pee and poo in their own toilets, instead of your pool.
One idiot in the mix, and it's Caddyshack, and AI is Carl Spackler eating a Baby Ruth out of the pool, every single time. Except it won't be a Baby Ruth, 99.9% of the time.

And there will never be enough smart people posting within AI's aggregation pool to overcome the number of thoroughgoing jackasses spewing bullshit by the metric fuckton, every time they fire up their keyboards, which is why most blogs and websites worth reading eventually have to moderate comments, just to keep the sanitation level tolerable.

It's also why ABCNNBCBS and print urinalists, substituting equally dipsh*t editors for AI, have become unreliable and intolerable piles of raw sewage, 24/7/365.
Because at the end of the day, AI isn't Artificial Intelligence. 
(Artificial Intelligence is an oxymoron.)
It's Artificial Stupidity, with a thin patina of the genuine article.
Which only fools people for whom indoor plumbing and electric lighting seem like witchcraft.

QED