Especially if tomorrow it's 700.
Don't believe me, or even Baghdad Bob, though.
Follow it yourself at the Johns-Hopkins COVID-19 tracking page.
Ignore case numbers if you like; we've only been testing for a couple of weeks, really. And we expected those to blossom as soon as they started doing tests.
But AFAIK, we aren't blending Kung Flu deaths with deaths from heart attacks or flu.
So deaths are real. IOW, we lost more people in the last 2 days as we lost in the six weeks before that. Got your attention there, did we? Welcome to exponential growth.
That means in the next week, it's only going to keep going up every day.
NYFC is losing someone every 24 minutes now. I'm sure actually it's just fine there, though, and this is all just hype and hoax. I heard that on the Internet. Bummer if your relative was one of the 600 today though. That's the breaks, I guess.
How long will this keep climbing?
No one can say for sure. Possibly into mid-summer. Maybe longer.
We're at this point with only 115K confirmed cases.
That only leaves 329,900,000 other Americans yet to infect.
That's a paltry 1.6% CFR.
Seasonal flu, which everyone was clucking about being "much worse" until about 15 minutes ago, has a CFR of 0.1%.
So this is "only" 16 times worse than that.
And the actual case numbers could be double, making this "only" 8 times worse than flu.
I feel better already, don't you?
So depending on how many people get this, it might "only" kill 2.6M people before it fades out. Maybe even less.
Which is only how many people die in this country every year, from everything.
What's to worry about?
You didn't need 21st century medicine this year anyways, right?
For anything. Not yourself. Not your kids.
And hey, fuck Grannie anyways, she was old, and she had a good run, amirite?
Call me when the deaths peak, and start going down every day.
That won't be the beginning of the end of this.
But it'll be the end of the beginning.
We're still in the ramp-up phase, apparently.
UPDATE: One courtesy of Matt Bracken
|This embiggens. Click it.|
Between 11A and 4P, the JH website updated.
New U.S. numbers:
121,478 confirmed cases; 2026 deaths.
135 new deaths in 5 hours.
That works out to 27 deaths/hr in the intervening 5 hr period.
About one death in the U.S every 2 minutes.
27/hr = 648/day, if this keeps up.
Yet again: we told you so.
BTW, half of all U.S. cases, currently, are in New York. Just saying.
Stay home. Wash your Hands.