Tuesday, May 5, 2020

A New Drinking Game For You During Coronatardation

























Go to your favorite go-to websites.

Every time one of them links to this CDC web page on Kung Flu deaths, and then, with utter un-concern for cluelessness, tells you anything close to "the CDC has revised Kung Flu deaths down by 30,000!" or any variation, you must slam a shot of your favorite high-test adult beverage.

When you get to the end of your list, you'll probably be just about drunk enough for them to make sense.

But you might have to do it two or three more times, until you're too blind to see














a few caveats, provisos, and codocils on the actual page, wherein the CDC, on the same page linked to, tells any olde foole with a spare two seconds of time and grade-school reading ability:

"Natzsofast, Guido!"
 
Sober people can be forgiven for noting, in the same two seconds, a few choice words about those "new, revised, lower Kung Flu deaths":
 
"Provisional death counts are based on death certificate data received and coded by the National Center for Health Statistics as of May 4, 2020. Death counts are delayed and may differ from other published sources (see Technical Notes). Counts will be updated periodically. Additional information will be added to this site as available.  
The provisional counts for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) deaths are based on a current flow of mortality data in the National Vital Statistics System. National provisional counts include deaths occurring within the 50 states and the District of Columbia that have been received and coded as of the date specified. It is important to note that it can take several weeks for death records to be submitted to National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), processed, coded, and tabulated. Therefore, the data shown on this page may be incomplete, and will likely not include all deaths that occurred during a given time period, especially for the more recent time periods. Death counts for earlier weeks are continually revised and may increase or decrease as new and updated death certificate data are received from the states by NCHS. 
 WHY THESE NUMBERS ARE DIFFERENT

Provisional death counts may not match counts from other sources, such as media reports or numbers from county health departments. Our counts often track 1–2 weeks behind other data for a number of reasons: Death certificates take time to be completed. There are many steps involved in completing and submitting a death certificate. Waiting for test results can create additional delays. States report at different rates. Currently, 63% of all U.S. deaths are reported within 10 days of the date of death, but there is significant variation among jurisdictions. It takes extra time to code COVID-19 deaths. While 80% of deaths are electronically processed and coded by NCHS within minutes, most deaths from COVID-19 must be coded manually, which takes an average of 7 days. Other reporting systems use different definitions or methods for counting deaths. 
Things to know about the data 
Provisional counts are not final and are subject to change. Counts from previous weeks are continually revised as additional records are received and processed. Provisional data are not yet complete. Counts will not include all deaths that occurred during a given time period, especially for more recent periods. However, we can estimate how complete our numbers are by looking at the average number of deaths reported in previous years. Death counts should not be compared across jurisdictions. Some jurisdictions report deaths on a daily basis, while others report deaths weekly or monthly. In addition, vital record reporting may also be affected or delayed by COVID-19 related response activities.

I never stayed at a Holiday Inn Express. But generally, when the FedGov, on it's own web page, tells you five times, nine different ways, including using giant type, bold face printing, and highlights, repeated enough times for even Gilligan to figure this out, including labeling the whole lash up

"PROVISIONAL Deaths" 

then maybe, just maybe...they're trying to tell the sloppy non-readers not to jump on these figures, and go galloping off on them in all directions, for another two months, or more.

Just spitballing, mind you.
Anyone who thinks the issue might be settled is invited to go to the linked page, and read it for yourselves.
It's always possible that the polarity of the entire universe, including the English language, just reversed itself 180 degrees, and it's now Bizarro Opposite World from now going forward, and telling people those numbers aren't the last word actually means "Please, by all means, pretend like we NEVER TOLD YOU that these numbers AREN'T the last word."

OR,
It could be that some people have an Emily Litella Moment coming, to match their impending Emily Litella Award, in 3, 2,...

 
 
{Hint: This info is not "fine print" when the .Gov puts it in 40-pt. bolded block letters, and repeats it more times than Nancy Pelosi stutters in a five minute speech.}

17 comments:

FredLewers said...

Selective hearing is a misnomer. Perhaps selective belief might be a better description.
It's still a shit show. Nothingburger in some areas and a cataclysmic medical crisis in other areas.
TPTB are red pilling a lot of people lately. The authoritarians are showing their colors proudly.

ThatWouldBeTelling said...

While this obviously won't help those suffering from coronatardation, looking at the latest few weeks of numbers should have told them something. They regularly change, and now there's ones for 5/2, but the series drastically decreases for all specific causes, which of course is an artifact of their trickling in from the states and D.C.

Another thing an astute reader should have noticed is the ICD-10 codes in parenthesis at the end of the labels at the top of the chart, not to mention the pervasive footnotes. I mean, now there should be additional ones beyond classic gems like W56.41XD, "Bitten by shark, subsequent encounter", adding that the shark was infected with COVID-19.

Except looking closer, that W50-64 range is for "Exposure to animate mechanical forces," and COVID-19 adds an infectious wrinkle....

(BTW, "subsequent encounter" means followup healthcare provider visits after your first "encounter" with presumably an emergency room, not additional Jaws style encounters with the same shark.)

Ramsey A. Bear said...

@Aesop I have had a thought (I know I am an idiot) and can find no other mention anywhere. What happens next year. The virus is out in the wild. It will be back like the flu or the common cold. Everyone talks about herd immunity. One mutation and It's back! There is no immunity. If I remember correctly last years flu shot was about 15% effective. I won't trust a Covid shot to be any better. This is not sarcastic, edumacate (intentional) me if I am wrong.

Survivormann99 said...

Aesop,

Your thoughts about www.plandemicmovie.com?

Aesop said...

We have no idea if this comes back next year.
In fact, it may simply never go away, and there's no evidence herd immunity ever happens.


I haven't seen nor heard about plandemicmovie until just now. I'll look into it.

ThatWouldBeTelling said...

Everyone talks about herd immunity. One mutation and It's back! There is no immunity. If I remember correctly last years flu shot was about 15% effective. I won't trust a Covid shot to be any better.

Do you trust polio, measles, and chicken pox vaccines? (For the latter, as someone who got shingles very early as that tends to do, you really don't want to let the virus get a foothold in your body, and if you're already too old for it, get the shingles vaccine, a 4X dose of the chicken pox vaccine, when you turn 60 (or I read in Wikipedia there's another for 50 and older).)

Because those are all vaccines for RNA viruses lacking the proofreading mechanism that coronaviruses uniquely have.

Based on personal experience our host quite correctly doesn't want us to make an all in bet on our being able to develop a safe and effective vaccine, but it's silly today to rule out that happening.

and there's no evidence herd immunity ever happens

That's interesting; I thought measles was the current example where it's thought to have worked, the notable failures in anti-vax communities proving the rule. See also smallpox and rinderpest eradication, how could they have happened without herd immunity, since we know, you know, not everyone who gets a vaccine gets immunity.

Badger said...

That same Ph.D had a falling out with Fauci some time back, which she goes into at some length apparently in an interview at:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kgnBldI7KPY

Have not seen it. Just ran across, as this plandemic stuff came up in another venue.

Grandpa said...

...the Bakersfield Doc Twins are in cameo. Or something. But the lady saying Fauci is a greedy asshat, yeah, I get that. I don't like that little derp state fucker at all.

Bee Ess said...

Watching the Chris Martensen Peak Prosperity covid videos, he brought up tonight (5/5) that this fucker has had at least 1 major mutation already. Currently 2 major strains, the one that looks like it started in or got its game on in italy (because thats the only strain that was there) and then NYFC.
Chris Martensen youtube channel

Robin Datta said...

During the pandemic deaths from some causes (such as automobile accidents) go down and others (such as heart attacks, from delayed care) go up. They can be combined in excess deaths from all causes to measure the overall impact of the pandemic.

ThatWouldBeTelling said...

this fucker has had at least 1 major mutation already

Didn't watch the video, but that has to refer to this recent in silico study. It seems it might be epidemiologically significant (transmission), but what it might mean clinically and for vaccine creation is yet to be investigated.

Right now we expect the only selection pressure is for higher transmission capability, so it might or might not be for example more lethal, just as long as that's delayed enough to give it lots of opportunity to transmit.

Bear Claw Chris Lapp said...

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. said...

This does not bode well:

https://www.dallasnews.com/business/airlines/2020/05/04/warren-buffett-dumps-all-of-his-airlines-stock-including-stakes-in-southwest-and-american/

Petroleum companies are also laying off large numbers of workers. It's as bad in the GOM as I have seen, since the early 80s. I'm still employed for now.


Termite

ThatWouldBeTelling said...

Stumbled across another account of criminal malpractice in NYC hospitals. That brings me up to three total.

Badger said...

Video mentioned by me above has been taken down by Mother Gulag.
However, Herschel has it over at The Captain's Journal.

https://www.captainsjournal.com/2020/05/05/coronavirus-how-we-got-here/

From Norway said...

At twbt:
If half of that report is true and happened in Norway, the whole government would be forced to resign.

The only reason to use a defibrillator in a beating heart is to stop it. They needed the bed, they thought the guy was not going to make it and solved the problem.

ThatWouldBeTelling said...

From Norway: I suspect you have yet to fully drink from the bitter cup of diversity. Yes, someone of what we think to be normal intelligence and cleverness would never use a defibrillator on a patient with a properly beating heart, but maybe that nurse wasn't living in the same reality we do. See the first of the anecdotal reports I found, "Third World Immigrant Medical Workers Exploited by NYC Democrats."