Epidemics are, first and foremost, a math problem: how many people, infected how fast, increasing at what rate. It's not daunting, but some peoples' eyes glaze over at anything beyond checkbook math. But one good instructor can solve that with a clear explanation.
From Frozen Patriot, and posted at WRSA, a short, simple, and laser-beam clear explanation of the math underlying this outbreak:
Math Just Is.
Go there, and Read The Whole Thing.
Then, make appropriate plans, based on the implications for your own life.
Planning and preparations have already begun in my household.
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