"I like a good story, well told. That is the reason I am sometimes forced to tell them myself." - Mark Twain
Friday, October 24, 2014
Thought For The Day
WHY MATH MATTERS LONG AFTER SCHOOL: Telling people that their chances of getting a deadly disease are one-in-a-million are far from comforting in a metropolis of 8.4 million people.
One can still live with such a chance. However, you cannot live for very long if your chances "improve" every 3 weeks. Today it is one in a million and by mid November it is 1/500,000. By early December it is far more likely than one in 250,000. It may in fact become 1/1000 when you consider unstopped flights arriving daily and the mass exposure each of those 1/million lotto winners generate using the mass transit system. But we all know this already.
One can still live with such a chance. However, you cannot live for very long if your chances "improve" every 3 weeks. Today it is one in a million and by mid November it is 1/500,000. By early December it is far more likely than one in 250,000. It may in fact become 1/1000 when you consider unstopped flights arriving daily and the mass exposure each of those 1/million lotto winners generate using the mass transit system. But we all know this already.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-10-24/nypd-stunner-cops-exit-ebola-victim-appartment-dump-gloves-masks-sidewalk-trash-can
ReplyDeletechances may change unless people start following protocol