To A Baby Duck, everything is new. Every minute of every day.
I mention that because I've only said what I'm about to cover about 57 times in the last 6 weeks, but maybe one more time will bring it home.
"You are really upset about this virus. Apparently It's not the death toll, it cannot be the number that tests positive - they don't all need hospital bed space, it isn't your love of Leftist gov't employees, -- What the heck are you seeing in CA that we should worry about??? I'm just not seeing it. If they covered the Swine flu like they are covering this nothing burger - we would have been hiding under our beds..." - AnonymousSo, yet again:
The death rate per se (the CFR) is meaningless (except to the Guests of Honor, and their nexts-of-kin). The dead are dead; as Patrick McGoohan said in Braveheart, "they cost nothing".
[BTW, the number of Kung Flu deaths in the U.S. went up 280 between 7:57A and 3:19P , just today, per the Johns Hopkins Kung Flu tracker. That's one death every two minutes, kids. Forget that it's exponential, for a minute. If it flat-lines, and stays at just that rate, it's 700/day. That's another 2800 by end of the month. Another 21,000 on top of that by the end of April. Which is more than the number of flu deaths (20K) in the U.S., in an average year. In one month. Oh, and it's not flat. Minute's up: It's growing exponentially. But that's still not the biggest problem.]
But if the "requires hospitalization rate" for this virus is 1%, and "only" 100M people get it, that's 100K more beds than we have in the nation.
If the "requires ICU admission" rate is "only" 0.1%, that's 40K more ICU beds than we have available in the whole U.S.
(For those who noticed, the old number was 90K ICU beds. It's not. It's 60K. The other 30K are PICU beds, pediatric beds, etc., none of which can nor should be converted to adult ICU beds. So you have approx. 60K ICU beds, in 50 states. period. -A.)
That's 40K Kung Flu patients who'll die.
And another 60K other critical patients who'll die too, because there will be no available ICU beds for them either.
This is like an Indy crash, where the announcer is focusing on "this will only kill 1 driver, FFS; what's the fuss?", except the car is airborne and flying at 200MPH at 50 feet, headed right for the thicket of hundreds of fans in the grandstand, who have nowhere to move out of the way. They're going to die too, and no one is thinking about that.
Everybody's looking at the magician's hat, and I'm telling you where the rabbit is going to come from.
If you can do magic, pull a top hat out of a rabbit, and then come talk to me.