tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post3271937801515438624..comments2024-03-28T11:58:42.109-07:00Comments on Raconteur Report: "But, But, But..." Part DeuxAesophttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07834464741531503378noreply@blogger.comBlogger14125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-19205536379916586962018-07-02T21:35:14.882-07:002018-07-02T21:35:14.882-07:00I can tell you this: I'm in the Reserves and i...I can tell you this: I'm in the Reserves and if the nastiness kicks off here and the military gets orders to fight FreeFor, they sure as shit ain't going to see me reporting for duty.<br /><br />And yes, if it kicks off, they will need the reserves majorly. It'll take all of the active duty troops just to provide for force protection, not including actual operations.The Gray Manhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15098168056466325559noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-83664206222804391572018-07-02T18:55:14.728-07:002018-07-02T18:55:14.728-07:00An additional point of rebuttal to MM's analys...An additional point of rebuttal to MM's analysis, namely:<br /><br />" Targeting the families of those soldiers is not particularly worthwhile, because I expect most of them are bachelors "<br /><br />Oh if only. My time in the .mil would have been so much easier if all I had to deal with was babysitting the troops and not had to worry about their spouses (sometimes in the same unit) and children as well. Marriage counseling, unexpected unavailability for deployment, financial counseling, loss clearances due to stupid stuff spouses accused each other of, domestic violence, shuffling scrambling fight crews because the baby sitter is sick, Oy Vey! Give me a nice simple NK Ranger Commando raid any day. That I can deal with!<br /><br />"...have you ever looked at a video game gathering?"<br /><br />The relationship between video game gathering attendees and the folks in the seats controlling Reapers etc. is pretty much that of HALO players to SF A Team members. I.e. pretty much none (some overlap of drone operators and SF guys that like to play games, but the inverse is NOT true).<br />RandyGChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16758726126424011542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-58233339734867832492018-07-02T17:04:53.413-07:002018-07-02T17:04:53.413-07:00Damn fine article Aesop.
I'm not sure I agree...Damn fine article Aesop.<br /><br />I'm not sure I agree with you on starvation loses though. The food distribution system in the US is very brittle and supplies are limited. So is the medical system for that matter and the water <br /><br />If things get hot enough for mass movements in a crisis those people on the move aren't going to find supplies after a very short period of time and because of the risk nobody is going to move stuff into cities except possibly drug gangs or the military if they can find any after a couple of weeks <br /><br />Casualties after Katrina was bungled were around a 1000 to maybe 1500 tops but that is with relief, without that it could be much nastier.<br /><br />This also assumes a somewhat fast return to normalcy and you know better than most these things can drag on and on. A few weeks is manageable but the Bracken Cube might not allow that level of luxury <br /><br />I'm not sure what the effects of systemic collapse would be but high casualties from illness, disease, violence are a strong possibility . It won't be Mark's 90% though AB.Prospernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-30381836873756296302018-07-02T14:29:58.192-07:002018-07-02T14:29:58.192-07:00There are simple, cheap, and effective countermeas...There are simple, cheap, and effective countermeasures for IR. That "survival blanket" could be useful in more ways than the advertised one. Over and above that, OPFOR is dependent on highly flammable gasoline, and somewhat less flammable diesel, and in mass concentrated quantities. Setting tank farms on fire puts a real kink on things, same with refineries, and it doesn't take much to do just that. Same case for tanker trucks. So now they have Patton's Problem - they're out of gas. They use what they have stored on base, and that's it. So that constricts the missions they can fly and vehicles they can run and electricity they can generate. You can have all the munitions in the world, but you have to deliver them.<br /><br />Using drones is cheaper and more economical as to fuel use, but there's a finite number of munitions. And drones have to be controlled from someplace, and there's wireless traffic from drone to base. A "man in the middle" attack can take down a drone - Iran did it, so it can be done - and that drone can be either destroyed, or captured and re-used. And there's a finite supply of them, too, and resupply will be difficult if not impossible, because this war will have no front lines and no rear areas.<br /><br />One of the real problem areas will be the drug gangs, they'd be an effective fifth column for places like Mexico, especially in the border areas. They're already armed with at least automatic weapons and probably more. They'll be far more of a threat than military or police.streamfortysevenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05181644427011474827noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-52123503958493323282018-07-02T08:26:21.441-07:002018-07-02T08:26:21.441-07:00As a civi I've seen the internets full of vids...As a civi I've seen the internets full of vids with the popo inadvertently coming up on urban festivities. Once they see they're outnumbered and locals start chucking things, the popo turnaround and go home. The Rodney King riots was a valuable lesson too. IMO (which is amateurish at best), unless the popo has deliberate plans to take and hold a piece of turf, they don't like surprises. At some point this simmering melting pot we call FUSA is going to boil over and reach terminal chaos. They can war game all the scenarios they want, but they can't expect the unexpected. Holy Guacamole batman. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-82959974792116218682018-07-02T04:22:54.629-07:002018-07-02T04:22:54.629-07:00Mark Matis,
Bud, give it up. Aesop presented man...Mark Matis,<br /><br />Bud, give it up. Aesop presented many, many valid responses to you. Even including examples so obvious Stevie Wonder could see and understand them. Not you. You want to continue arguing when you have no valid argument. In other words, you are simply being unreasonable. One cannot reason with the unreasonable.<br /><br />Give it up. With every continuing remark from you you look foolish.DAN IIIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09474644417015205704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-83429965619129881432018-07-01T22:11:56.285-07:002018-07-01T22:11:56.285-07:00Roger on the IR, Aesop - I've had the pleasure...Roger on the IR, Aesop - I've had the pleasure of co-designing many of the systems LE and the US military use. Further, the US is *far* larger and with more potential hot spots than anything ISIS has presented for us.An Engineer / Veteranhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09858424358858486424noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-62350212168104525442018-07-01T19:54:31.126-07:002018-07-01T19:54:31.126-07:00Forget it. He's just shit-posting now.
This is...Forget it. He's just shit-posting now.<br />This is CallofDuty X GTA horseshit.<br /><br />By the numbers:<br />1) What was the die-off after Beirut and Lebanon melted down? How about after Argentina? Yugoslavia? Zimbabwe? Anywhere???<br />I'll accept any number between 0% and 0.5%. Because unlike the punchlines in a Sam Kinison bit, <br />https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bjO7QMP4h-Y<br />people in a food desert don't obligingly sit there and die. They fucking move.<br />2) You're going to "drop bridges" with C-4 mythically pulled out of your ass. Good for you. Which bridges will you drop to isolate St. Louis? San Francisco? Newark? D.C.? Chicongo? You grok that they're all <i>contiguous masses of land</i>, right?<br />3) Then you're going to snipe people, because your snipers (small ambush, by definition) have Harry Potter's magic invisibility cloak to the same Eye Of Sauron air assets that had you all atwitter a day ago. Got it, thanks.<br />4) These armed drones came whistled up from...where, exactly?<br />And while you're up, how many Hellfire missiles does your PD have in stock, on hand? Would that be 0 too?<br />5) Those LE air assets have to land, bub. And they don't and won't have the time, gas, or jurisdiction to go trolling around outside their own turf, when they can't even control that turf <i>now</i>, in peacetime.<br /><br />They see some of what's out in the open. In the city, it's worse. A building looks like a building on thermal. You can't even see through the glass. Or under the overhangs.<br />And they don't see dick through heavy brush, either, let alone mylar-lined fabric, unless you're running a stove under it.<br /><br />Go back to your video games, son. Big people are talking here.Aesophttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07834464741531503378noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-58486165399808028772018-07-01T19:06:52.325-07:002018-07-01T19:06:52.325-07:00I’ve obviously been wasting my time reading Aesop’...I’ve obviously been wasting my time reading Aesop’s blog when MM has all the answers figured out. What’s url of your practical info loaded blog MM?J Jnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-77395883541905611322018-07-01T17:40:09.795-07:002018-07-01T17:40:09.795-07:001000' altitude, not 100'. That altitude a...1000' altitude, not 100'. That altitude and range combination gives them a good look angle for anything in less than the most inhospitable terrain.Mark Matisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-32877057299597962092018-07-01T17:37:50.090-07:002018-07-01T17:37:50.090-07:00On the other hand, if OpFor is still standing and ...On the other hand, if OpFor is still standing and has air assets with IR, they can stand off beyond rifle range and identify any human grouping that does not look normal. And from 1000 feet altitude at a half mile for local "Law Enforcement" helicopters or airplanes, your ambush does not look "normal" on IR. And from 30,000 feet with an armed drone, you'll never even know they're there before you and your squad are red paste. Your ambush plan is excellent as long as your assumptions are valid. My point is that, if they're not, well, at least you might not even know what hit you.<br /><br />Now if you've got MANPADS or other anti-aircraft assets, then OpFor's air assets are rather easy to counter. My assumption is that most tribes will not have anything more capable than normal small arms. And that furthermore they will not have snipers capable of taking out a man - or an air vehicle - at a range of more than a half mile at 100' altitude. And if you've watched any of the "Law Enforcement" helicopter IR video, they can easily work effectively at that range in a rural area. Especially if what they're looking for is a group of four or more "enemy" acting as a unit.Mark Matisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-12711051875725410182018-07-01T17:29:48.052-07:002018-07-01T17:29:48.052-07:00The 5-Oh were really effective in South LA after t...The 5-Oh were really effective in South LA after the Rodney King beating verdict came out... And wasn't it interesting the local Nasty Girls had to have weapons (especially BCGs) shipped in to the local Armories?<br /><br />Then there was Katrina... I liked how they had to cherry-pick units to kick in doors and confiscate weapons, and wonder how many units they'd have to weed out to gain breathing room around, say, D.C.?<br /><br />If you're still worried about IR, Snakebite Tactical came out a couple years ago with a DIY cloak system, or they'll make it for you.<br /><br />Or just curl into the fetal and keep soiling yourself with fear-turds.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-2554058709192150052018-07-01T17:27:49.055-07:002018-07-01T17:27:49.055-07:00Just how much hive is going to be left after a few...Just how much hive is going to be left after a few weeks of no power and/or no water? My bet is less than 10% of the original population.<br /><br />IF your tribe has dropped bridge spans on routes out of the hives, the migration will be minimal. If there is no OpFor, put a small number of snipers at rational fording points for rivers or streams around the hives. Shoot anything that tries to cross.<br /><br />If your assumption is that OpFor no longer has effective air assets, then your plan is fine. If it is even needed. My expectation is that once the hives self destruct, the residual problem is small. Flyover country is far more likely to find a way to work together to break out of the disaster. As it has shown repeatedly in natural disasters for many years.Mark Matisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-30743711137628262022018-07-01T15:55:09.895-07:002018-07-01T15:55:09.895-07:00es la verdad!es la verdad!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com