tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post2499814283535659217..comments2024-03-28T11:58:42.109-07:00Comments on Raconteur Report: Flying By The Seat Of Our PantsAesophttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07834464741531503378noreply@blogger.comBlogger74125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-79117658200613611682020-03-24T23:45:34.028-07:002020-03-24T23:45:34.028-07:00I know two gummint employees on paid administrativ...I know two gummint employees on paid administrative leave who both did the drive through-testing for corona-chan. Neither is admitting to their employer that they are sick, because it will use up their sick leave.<br /><br />Public Heath here is not taking info from patients who call to report they have CCPflu, it has to be from doctors. Doctors are telling their patients to make the call, because HPPA.<br /><br />So... GIGO all the way down.OvergrownHobbithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15683596916721077471noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-72218884331846083652020-03-23T22:20:44.747-07:002020-03-23T22:20:44.747-07:00Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D) Executive ...Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D) Executive Order 2020-13 (COVID-19)<br /><br />Temporary enhancements to operational capacity and efficiency of health care facilities<br /> <br />...<br /><br />Acting under the Michigan Constitution of 1963 and Michigan law, I order the following:<br /><br />Effective immediately and continuing through April 14, 2020 at 11:59 pm, the Department of Health and Human Services (“DHHS”) may issue an emergency certificate of need to an applicant and defer strict compliance with the procedural requirements of section 22235 of the Public Health Code, 1978 PA 368, as amended, MCL 333.22235, until the termination of the state of emergency under section 3 of Executive Order 2020-4.<br /><br />Effective immediately and continuing through April 14, 2020 at 11:59 pm, the Department of Licensing and Regulatory Affairs (“LARA”) may grant a waiver under section 21564 of the Public Health Code, 1978 PA 368, as amended, MCL 333.21564, to any licensed hospital in this state, regardless of number of beds or location, for the purpose of providing care during the COVID-19 emergency, to construct, acquire, or operate a temporary or mobile facility for any health care purpose, regardless of where the facility is located.<br /><br />Effective immediately and continuing through April 14, 2020 at 11:59 pm, LARA may issue a temporary registration as a certified nurse aide to an applicant, regardless of whether the applicant demonstrates to LARA that they have successfully completed the examination requirements of sections 21911 and 21913 of the Public Health Code, 1978 PA 368, as amended, MCL 333.21911 and MCL 333.21913. A temporary registration issued under this section shall be valid for 28 days and may be renewed by LARA until the termination of the state of emergency under section 3 of Executive Order 2020-4.<br /><br />Effective immediately and continuing through April 14, 2020 at 11:59 pm, LARA may renew a license to practice under Part 170, 172, 175, 177, or 187 of the Public Health Code, 1978 PA 368, as amended, regardless of whether the licensee has satisfied the continuing education requirement applicable to their license.<br /> <br />Effective immediately and continuing through April 14, 2020 at 11:59 pm, LARA may recognize hours worked responding to the COVID-19 emergency as hours toward continuing education courses or programs required for licensure.<br /> <br />Effective immediately and continuing through April 14, 2020 at 11:59 pm, LARA may allow a non-nursing assistant such as an activity coordinator, social worker, or volunteer to help feed or transport a patient or resident in a manner consistent with the patient’s or resident’s care plan.<br /><br />Given under my hand and the Great Seal of the State of Michigan.<br />Wendy (KekistanTrans)https://www.blogger.com/profile/02876812618540831676noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-30358452233250134532020-03-23T20:52:36.126-07:002020-03-23T20:52:36.126-07:00I was right about this all along, on the literally...I was right about this all along, on the literally the first day, and had it called correctly at the time:<br /><br />* It's an ordinary cold-virus that's been given a name to panic everyone...<br />* ...in order to loot about thirty trillion dollars out of global stock-market futures....<br />* ...while acclimating the citizenry worldwide to "justified" at-whim oppression...<br />* ...permit the "Never a socialist nation!" Republicans to pass exactly 100% of Bernie Sanders communist campaign platform under the guise of an "emergency".<br /><br />And, now that the US is ramping up case-reporting to something reasonably approaching slightly accurate (i.e., as opposed to the bullshit from, say, China and Iran, where we may reasonably assume that almost everyone susceptible in both countries should have contracted it by now), it's becoming ever clearer that all-told lethality of this thing is going to be under a tenth of one-percent (that I also predicted, as I assume that the virus is NOT "novel", and that the human genome has weathered earlier, unnoticed outbreaks). IOW, well within to average seasonal variation of elderly pneumonia deaths (which runs 50,000 annual deaths in the US).<br /><br />They made y'all jump good, and got it on camera, and stole your liberty and your money while they were at it.Bezzlehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12752975251705231877noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-53124308468964972972020-03-23T17:13:01.737-07:002020-03-23T17:13:01.737-07:00@Anon 1534: Even better is they are now using ant...@Anon 1534: Even better is they are now using anti-virals for AIDS for 'prep'. Docs started giving off label to take as prophylaxis about 10yrs ago. The dolts at FDA now have this as an INDICATION for some of these meds. This is beyond stupid. I'm not medically trained at all (unless you count Marine Corps first aid) and even I get that bugs change and/or you can select for more viable/virulent strains (see MRSA and overuse of antibiotics). Eventually AIDS II will come out and likely be far worse than the original strain b/c humans accelerated natural selection.<br /><br />Never underestimate the power of stupid.<br /><br />@MTHead 1118: It has a name. It is called Administratium.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-24785449125801893682020-03-23T16:16:02.152-07:002020-03-23T16:16:02.152-07:00Keep up the good work, Aesop.
The powers that be ...Keep up the good work, Aesop.<br /><br />The powers that be assure us that the supply chain is intact. How can that be--at least for long? Given the percent of the population that is, essentially, sheltering in place, how can the supply chain function at the required level once the current warehouse stock is depleted? Who is actually at work now making that new products to introduce into the supply chain, be it food, disinfectant, fuel, medical supplies, and countless other things? <br /><br />A person formerly working in logistics for a nationally known company that depends heavily on Chinese production, told me that, after a unit leaves a Chinese factory, it takes approximately 45 days for that product to reach a retail end-user. Since China is just starting to get back to work—if, in fact, reports are actually accurate—this delay has to be accounted for when figuring out the continued viability of the supply chain.<br /><br />About the CFR rate, the most serious cases require ventilators and, without them, the outcome will be fatal for a very great number of patients. This explains the observation that it is better to become infected early in a pandemic rather than later. (Note that a similar situation happened with battle casualties in earlier times. It was far better to get wounded early in the battle than late in the battle when medical personnel were overwhelmed.) Reports indicate that we're close to the point where existing ventilators are being maxed out with the exploding number of cases. <br /><br />Once the saturation point with ventilator use occurs, won't this ensure that the CFR rate will skyrocket in a couple of weeks?<br />Survivormann99https://www.blogger.com/profile/07446145435315604776noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-62611166330316064342020-03-23T15:00:53.772-07:002020-03-23T15:00:53.772-07:00@ from norway, every one saved is a win.
take wha...@ from norway, every one saved is a win.<br /><br />take what joy you can.<br /><br />nick<br /><br />nick flandreynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-5947599944621630732020-03-23T14:47:09.125-07:002020-03-23T14:47:09.125-07:00@Desertrat
Today in Norway the first patient with...@Desertrat<br /><br />Today in Norway the first patient with respirator was disconnected from it, because of recovery. It was big news, since all the others are still connected or dying.<br /><br />Does not look good at all if you ask me.From Norwaynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-27293976803692454062020-03-23T14:14:35.495-07:002020-03-23T14:14:35.495-07:00I'm in a private sub-forum of a firearms websi...I'm in a private sub-forum of a firearms website. One of the guys there is a code-writing savant. He and four or five others are working with GISAID in developing curves to project the growth rates of infections, hospitalizations and deaths from Corona.<br /><br />Accuracy is near 100%, so far. New data points from reporting agencies are on the curves.<br /><br />The worldwide death rate is now expected to be near four percent. In the US? Around seven percent. <br /><br />Of those who go to ICU, half die.Desertrat 1https://www.blogger.com/profile/10461625858091312565noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-17986056067757883542020-03-23T12:02:03.869-07:002020-03-23T12:02:03.869-07:00Lunatic new neighbors moved in next door to us. &q...Lunatic new neighbors moved in next door to us. "Baby Huey" and His "'Lil Princess." Every freaking day--either UPS. FedEX, or USPO delivers packages to their front door. Record was 7 packages in one day--they live for "stuff."<br /><br />Always running out now for eats--both are morbidly obese--he at about 300 and 'Lil Priness" about 350, true "land whales"; both are in their early 30s. Both waddle, not walk. Pizza delivery is multiples, not a single pizza. Self-absorbed and self-indulgent to the max. Have not said "Hello" to us in weeks, even tho we live 50 feet from them.<br /><br />Catch this--two days ago a car from NEW YORK STATE (NYC ?) pulls into their driveway--about 50 feet from me--and occupants bail out and all of them are laughing, hollering, and making fun of these days by foot "handshaking," or elbow nudging. The New Yawkers have been there 3 days bow. <br /><br />Everything for this group of collective 'tards is a BIG JOKE. Their bloated human bodies--prolly diabetic, over weight, bad hearts, and hypertension to boot--means ZERO to these clowns. And--they are making well into the mid six figures of salaries. He drives the $80k SUV and she the European all-wheel special.<br /><br />Best one: their aged and decrepit parents come over daily to fawn over their 'lil Princess' and her new digs and endless "new stuff" she buys. They may contract more than they bargained for. <br /><br />Total ignoramuses. <br /><br /><br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-30953767163692174232020-03-23T11:26:14.509-07:002020-03-23T11:26:14.509-07:00I'm looking to buy dirt so I don't have to...I'm looking to buy dirt so I don't have to venture out in this later, just to get a fresh veg... and I'm still weighing pros and cons and protective measures....<br /><br />nnick flandreynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-81395114361411622402020-03-23T11:17:09.400-07:002020-03-23T11:17:09.400-07:00Wheel, thanks a lot for that report. As I've ...Wheel, thanks a lot for that report. As I've been telling too many non-specialists on the Right who insist out of their ignorance that this <i>must</i> be a bioweapon, it's the world's worst one, with patients like this throwing it off (so far), and per the I don't trust them statistics mostly from the PRC, it only killing 15% of those over 80. Few of whom I assume don't have comorbidities.ThatWouldBeTellinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16910231314995266781noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-44005141957885337002020-03-23T10:36:13.809-07:002020-03-23T10:36:13.809-07:00Case report from my hospital. 88 yo male with his...Case report from my hospital. 88 yo male with history of COPD, coronary disease, pancytopenia, 50+ year smoker presented with 1 week cough and fever. Pt actively dances 4 to 5 times a week. In ED vitals within normal limits and febrile 100.8 had taken Tylenol. Sent home at pt request and self quarantine. 4 days later when COVID test positive, follow up call, pt doing great. If anyone should have died from this, this man was the poster child.<br /><br />Note that spike in tests now that CDC opened up testing for everyone with cough and subjective fever.Wheelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04591259618310065642noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-34424445073070971002020-03-23T10:07:23.960-07:002020-03-23T10:07:23.960-07:00My new job in the paint store has morphed a little...My new job in the paint store has morphed a little. We get call, after call, after call..........from nurses, hospitals, doctors, etc about masks. Yes, we carry N95 masks if we were in normal times but everytime we get 4 masks in they are already spoken for. One hospital-who shall remain nameless-bought an entire painters respitory kit for $100 just to get the mask. Sad times for a supposedly first world country. On Sunday, there was really no reason for me to show up, but I did, to get paid. I spent my time disinfecting and cleaning-I have turned into the Rosie Super Cleaner. No customers were allowed in, the boys in the back mixed 5 gallon after 5 gallon barrell of paint, for contractors. We take credit cards only, no cash at this time. Therefore, no way to spread germs. The contractor calls ahead, we put the paint outside the store on a pallet, with the reciept attached, and watch him pick it up. Inbetween the calls from the medical community, we get Heather The Privileged calling. "Oh! You're open? Good! I need to look at some paint colors, will someone be there to help me?" No. No one will help you, we aren't doing color consultations at this time, worldwide pandemic-you know, and if you need paint, you have to call it in, with the color, the finish, and your credit card. Absolutely stunned silence. "But! But! You're open! And I have time to do this now! I work full-time!" Home Depot, Lowes, and Target are full of morons. They are not buying parts for the refrigerator that broke, or fixing plumbing. It's plants, dirt, wallpaper, etc. <br />-Reporting in from Folsom, CaliforniaStealth Spanielnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-38180842710356980652020-03-23T08:45:10.557-07:002020-03-23T08:45:10.557-07:00Add:12 hrs study interval, Add:12 hrs study interval, Barbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16285166727136181859noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-30727103327411285732020-03-23T08:34:40.349-07:002020-03-23T08:34:40.349-07:00Went out this am with the sole intention of gettin...Went out this am with the sole intention of getting 2 gallons of milk. Figured walgreens or a quickie mart was the best way to minimize interactions with people.<br /><br />8:45am, and people were lined up outside walgreens, where the sign advertised milk in gallons, limit 3. I drove on by to a larger regional chain gas station with a new convenience store attached. <br /><br />Place was clean, with only a couple of customers, and I got a gallon of ice cream as well as the last two gallons of whole milk. <br /><br />I wore gloves, never got within 4-6 feet of anyone. No coughing or sneezing. paid with card, and used glove to sign, refused the receipt. carried the bags without using the handles, sprayed the jug handles with alcohol when I got home. Washed with the Gojo AB soap.<br /><br />Crazy? Overkill? Who knows. I can, so I did. I'd have stayed home completely but having real milk for the kids is easing the transition.<br /><br />Making my 'last run' to the home centers too so I can get more potting soil, plants, and materials for a security upgrade here at the house. Loading up on gas too since I'm out anyway. Given my 'druthers I'd just be here at home, but this feels like it is starting to get tight around here, so I'm topping up.<br /><br />YMMV<br /><br />Houston metro area, west side,<br /><br />nick<br />nick flandreynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-49030522727895642732020-03-23T08:25:47.711-07:002020-03-23T08:25:47.711-07:00https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18164798
&quo...https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18164798<br /><br />"Increasing ventilator surge capacity in disasters:Ventilation of four adult human sized sheep on a single ventilator with a modified circuit" full text also available @ Elsevier hub.<br /><br />FWIW. Experimental, done 2008 in US Dept Emergency Medicine, State Univ of NY Downstate Lorenzo Paladino, author and others.<br /><br />Barb, flyover country, central US.Barbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16285166727136181859noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-81255763685020263362020-03-23T08:11:22.801-07:002020-03-23T08:11:22.801-07:00Smaller countries who have the ability to test a g...Smaller countries who have the ability to test a greater portion of their populations may be better indicators of the spread, as Aesop had mentioned before.<br />On Worldometer, San Marino is reporting 5,511 per 1M Pop, Faeroe Islands (NW Scotland) 2,415, Iceland 1,723, Luxembourg 1,275, Andorra 1,721, Liechtenstein 1,206<br />Etc.<br />The US count is not lower, it's the data blackout from the "don't test, don't tell" policy. I am guessing that Manhattan is higher than any of the others because of the density, the flat footed response, and the refusal to pivot to mitigation efforts quick enough.<br /><br />NYC will be out of ventilators by the end of the week. "Screen cap this".Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-60774036069225821122020-03-23T07:53:17.862-07:002020-03-23T07:53:17.862-07:00Data points, somewhat reduced in size about the ef...Data points, somewhat reduced in size about the effectiveness of hydroxichloroquine.<br /><br />Local hospital had four patients with the Kung Flu. Set them all with HCQ on Friday. Two of them have already been discharged.<br /><br />Data set is ridiculous, but that is all I have.From Norwaynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-39125306145248138532020-03-23T06:58:59.929-07:002020-03-23T06:58:59.929-07:00Hope@ZeroKelvin said:
Let me tell you about Fauci...Hope@ZeroKelvin said:<br /><br /><i>Let me tell you about Fauci.<br /><br />I was at NIH from 1983 to 1985. That was when HIV was being worked out and Fauci was locked in mortal combat with Luc Montongier (?sp), a French scientist, for the identification, and the glory therein, of this weird immunocompromising virus spreading through the (mainly white) homosexual population....</i><br /><br />The death match was between Montongier and Robert Gallo, Fauci is a doctor, not a bench lab scientist. Fauci could well have been in his chain of command at the NIH and supported his claims vs. Montongier, which got <i>really</i> messy.ThatWouldBeTellinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16910231314995266781noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-8435249416861147752020-03-23T06:01:47.058-07:002020-03-23T06:01:47.058-07:00Interesting map, and interesting use for peoples&#...Interesting map, and interesting use for peoples' involuntarily shared data....<br /><br />bet they had no idea their temps would be or could be used in something like this when they skipped reading the TOS and Privacy Policy.<br /><br />n<br /><br />(yeah, not personally identifiable in this form but SOMEONE has it in a usable form.)nick flandreynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-24274925757278463712020-03-23T06:01:39.883-07:002020-03-23T06:01:39.883-07:00Given the demographic most likely to be caught in ...Given the demographic most likely to be caught in the cross-hairs of this (possibly) manufactured epidemic, its beginning to look more like a controlled burn than an accident. Too many 'eaters' over retirement age being conveniently put out to pasture.<br /><br />Have you heard about the latest craze among the Tide-pod-gobbling set? They go to grocery stores and deliberately cough on fresh produce. After congregating in large numbers with their bored spring breaking peers in defiance of common laws and common sense.<br /><br />All this time I thought I was prepping for CivWar II. It never occurred to me to eye the grandkids with distrust.TwoBuckChuckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00772175243255911314noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-787840247876903292020-03-23T04:26:29.172-07:002020-03-23T04:26:29.172-07:00Atypical Illness Levels:
The U.S. Health Weather ...Atypical Illness Levels:<br /><br />The U.S. Health Weather Map is a visualization of seasonal illness linked to fever - specifically influenza-like illness. <br /><br />The map shows two key data points: (1) the illness levels we’re currently observing, and (2) the degree to which those levels are higher than the typical levels we expect to see at this point in the flu season.<br /><br />https://healthweather.us/Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-4873494190072779032020-03-23T04:07:53.547-07:002020-03-23T04:07:53.547-07:00I personally know three nurses at three different ...I personally know three nurses at three different facilities who are seeing cases at their medical facilities which are in completely different AO's. One of them put out a public plea for PPE materials (and yes I responded and got them some because I had spare, no time to be selfish, rule 3 and whatnot). <br /><br />Aesop, thanks again for these posts. Much appreciated. I have used them to try to wake people up but normalcy bias and plain ole fear is a heck of a disincentive for normies. The belief that the .gov is going to save them and is strong. The ONLY good thing about this fcking chink virus is that it's pulling the curtain back bigly. Lines outside gun stores (better late than never) and polticians soiling themselves daily on teevee is a wonderful thing to see. <br /><br />Culper should update his CW scales, I think we may be further along now lol. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-37542506505389800382020-03-23T03:34:04.072-07:002020-03-23T03:34:04.072-07:00Let me tell you about Fauci.
I was at NIH from 1...Let me tell you about Fauci. <br /><br />I was at NIH from 1983 to 1985. That was when HIV was being worked out and Fauci was locked in mortal combat with Luc Montongier (?sp), a French scientist, for the identification, and the glory therein, of this weird immunocompromising virus spreading through the (mainly white) homosexual population. He waited an entire year before admitting that gay bath houses and promiscious gay sex was a key problem in HIV spread.<br /><br />Meanwhile about every (mainly white) homosexual became infected and died. Reagan was President.<br /><br />My favorite uncle, a man that put me on the path of (sucessful) science nerd geekdom, died of it.<br /><br />========<br /><br />Sadly, so much of the male homosexual population is still as irresponsible as ever. Those horrific gonorrhea and syphilis infection statistics? <br />They never mention that most of the infections are amongst two groups, homosexual males and drug addicts. Whatever happened to the campaigns to use condoms and barriers? I guess they will not get serious until gonorrhea and syphilis are immune to every existing drug treatment. Then they will finally get serious, when it is too damned late. And then everyone will pay the price. <br /><br />Just like the irresponsible people that are defeating all the efforts to slow and stop infections from the Chinese Coronavirus these last few weeks. The efforts of thousands of responsible people are negated by the selfish and unthinking actions of a few. <br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-714028479313834812.post-7741489538284074992020-03-23T02:26:02.730-07:002020-03-23T02:26:02.730-07:00The U.S. CDC has published some preliminary data o...<br />The U.S. CDC has published some preliminary data on 4226 U.S. citizens diagnosed with COVID-19 between mid-Feb and mid-March, 2020. Twelve percent of those were hospitalized. The CDC confirms that those over 60–65 years old are at greatest risk of serious illness or death; nothing new there.<br /><br />The startling info for me was that adults of all age groups were prone to being admitted to a hospital with the infection. For instance, the rate of hospitalization for those aged 45–64 was 25%. The hospitalization rate for those 20–44 was not fare behind at 20%. From the CDC report:<br /><br />"As of March 16, a total of 4,226 COVID-19 cases had been reported in the United States, with reports increasing to 500 or more cases per day beginning March 14 (Figure 1). Among 2,449 patients with known age, 6% were aged ≥85, 25% were aged 65–84 years, 18% each were aged 55–64 years and 45–54 years, and 29% were aged 20–44 years (Figure 2). Only 5% of cases occurred in persons aged 0–19 years."<br /><br />"Among 508 (12%) patients known to have been hospitalized, 9% were aged ≥85 years, 36% were aged 65–84 years, 17% were aged 55–64 years, 18% were 45–54 years, and 20% were aged 20–44 years. Less than 1% of hospitalizations were among persons aged ≤19 years (Figure 2). The percentage of persons hospitalized increased with age, from 2%–3% among persons aged ≤19 years, to ≥31% among adults aged ≥85 years. (Table)."<br /><br />The report doesn’t mention how many of those admitted to the ICU were on mechanical ventilation, nor how many made it out of the hospital alive.<br /><br />https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e2.htm?s_cid=mm6912e2_w#T1_downSteve Parker, M.D.http://advancedmediterranean.comnoreply@blogger.com